Sat, 22 Sep 2012 09:06:26 GMT | By Vinnie Penn, MSN US TV contributor
2012 Primetime Emmys: Our predictions

MSN TV's man in the US runs down the night's likely big winners, and who we're really rooting for

Peter Dinklage at the Emmys 2011 (© Wireimage/Jordan Strauss)
  • Peter Dinklage at the Emmys 2011 (© Wireimage/Jordan Strauss)
  • Modern Family (© ABC Inc/Everett/Rex Features)
  • Larry David (© Wireimage/Eric Charbonneau)
  • Melissa McCarthy (© Wireimage/JB Lacroix;)
  • Ty Burrell (© Wireimage/Gregg DeGuire)
  • Kathryn Joosten (© Wireimage/Jeff Vespa;)
  • Homeland (© Showtime/Everett/Rex Features)
  • Michelle Dockery, Claire Danes (© Wireimage)
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My Oscar prediction record is startling: I honestly don't think I have gotten one wrong in over 10 years. I was kicked out of an Academy Award p­­arty many years ago due to my predictions proving correct so tirelessly that it infuriated the host. Not big on dessert, and having had my fill of both stuffed mushrooms and stuffed breads, I left without incident. He had already delivered an impassioned "You just shouldn't win twice" speech at a previous party, in regard to Hilary Swank taking home her second, so his bad manners came as no surprise. (For the record, yes, I called Swank both times.)

Why am I going on and on about my Oscar prediction track record for a piece about Emmy predictions? Well, because it's pristine, spotless, perfect. And my Emmy one - yeah, not so much.

Fact is, the Emmys can be big on repeat visits to the podium for folks. Real big. That makes it occasionally tough to call. They are also prone to nostalgia, to giving it up to the "sentimental favourite." Then there's the penchant for debut-season sweeps (which HBO's Girls can easily pull off this year, though I doubt it will).

That said, I have done my TV-addicted best to predict the outcome in the major categories here. The 64th Primetime Emmy Awards airs Sunday, Sept. 23, and is hosted by Jimmy Kimmel, who is a nominee as well, in the variety series category. Yes, the host is also a nominee, much like James Franco at the Oscars. But Kimmel will be entertaining and actually has a shot at winning.